Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 210.661659 236.475335 264.958124 298.847611 338.239222 382.783680 437.250245
2025-04-13 164.471044 196.843301 235.536993 285.678757 349.644195 429.482652 538.215931
2025-04-20 147.450449 184.429140 231.164805 295.551819 383.528958 501.912198 677.463486
2025-04-27 136.393678 176.774201 230.182376 307.607080 419.764604 580.917074 838.892768
2025-05-04 124.245277 165.645494 222.434627 308.253436 438.757904 637.014146 976.279443
2025-05-11 111.992699 152.760033 210.364461 300.452568 443.143159 670.470413 1082.823244
2025-05-18 102.301594 142.393878 200.562052 294.390256 448.643287 705.495884 1197.883724
2025-05-25 97.761254 138.992688 200.505266 303.059358 478.588477 785.422254 1411.296983
2025-06-01 91.682405 132.661501 195.234326 302.498430 492.509936 838.950218 1585.542283
2025-06-08 85.325664 125.334574 187.658390 297.106508 496.926526 875.168930 1731.960623
2025-06-15 80.912067 120.673742 183.882389 297.666548 512.001570 934.012786 1942.312817
2025-06-22 75.678419 114.291402 176.712944 291.423770 513.270564 964.989126 2095.415716
2025-06-29 71.631912 109.650961 172.238620 289.872878 524.065870 1019.107829 2324.754461
2025-07-06 66.038176 102.086828 162.223262 277.137719 510.892047 1019.083818 2414.221025
2025-07-13 64.571275 101.334576 163.928021 286.648855 544.834986 1131.702748 2850.560296
2025-07-20 63.499545 101.157042 166.594118 298.256189 584.940133 1267.365066 3408.220304
2025-07-27 60.922800 98.170243 163.916202 298.878421 600.757410 1346.157306 3818.572886
2025-08-03 57.455852 93.389606 157.575209 291.367964 596.894433 1373.132071 4064.131860
2025-08-10 54.480193 89.314772 152.274382 285.530163 596.222988 1408.745862 4356.651753
2025-08-17 53.485528 88.760561 153.598795 293.877896 630.965651 1550.778713 5123.481749
2025-08-24 51.494298 86.250819 150.960214 293.337826 643.550521 1631.541551 5684.538437
2025-08-31 49.114700 82.885260 146.418153 288.145950 643.532688 1674.315280 6103.265190
2025-09-07 47.521797 80.908713 144.497252 288.685249 658.646590 1768.232327 6814.989933